美国人最近强迫人民币升值，他们叫嚣中国操纵货币，且蛮不讲理地把它的经济倒退归结为是人民币币值过低的结果。在这里，我不禁想问问美国人认为人民币币值太低的理由是什么呢？单单是因为中美贸易中所存在的大量贸易逆差么?那究竟人民币是否存在币值过低的问题呢?是否真的如果人民币一生值，美国乃至全世界都能从水深火热之中解放出来呢？古人云，以史为镜可以照兴衰，那我们就不妨用历史这面镜子来照一照，让它把我们带回到十多年前的日本，看看当时日元急剧升值是否解决了问题。相信大家都还对日元升值记忆犹新吧。那时美国大耍霸权经济，使用了极其卑鄙的手段出了一分虚假数据，欺骗并威胁经验不足的日本，让他们充当美国经济一蹶不振的替罪羊，而日本由于对美国政治经济的过度依赖不得不低头让步，致使日本经济从此一蹶不振，至今也没能缓过气来。可是当时的日本怎么说来跟今天的中国有着天壤之别，当时的日本已经相当发达，技术相当先进，它拥有汽车制造及电子等王牌工业，即便升值人们也不得不买这些产品；反观现在的中国，仍然是个贫困国家，去年超过8%的增长率不过是以牺牲自己的资源和环境为代价，不得已而为之的结果，中国的出国产品主要是廉价的服装，鞋子和玩具等，毫无技术含量可言，一旦升值，无数企业将倒闭，工人将大量失业，如果说日元的升值使得日本经济徘徊不前，那么人民币的升值势必造成中国经济的巨大倒退。当时日元的升值也给日本人民带来了小小的好处，那就是去到海外的日本人忽然觉得自己一夜之间变成了富翁富婆，无论走到哪里，无论购买什么东西，都不禁惊呼“安い”；那人民币的升值会不会也能暂时满足一下中国人的虚荣心呢？放心，没可能，想都别想，都说过了中国不具备人家非买不可的王牌产品，升值便是断了自己的财路，钱都没了，还谈什么升值？升得再多也不关你什么事了。
美国的另一个如意算盘是因为它欠了中国大量的债，一旦人民币升值20%， 那就意味着它可以轻松地来掉20%的债务。有钱人，难道你们的良心都被狗吃了吗？你们不知道这些都是中国人民的血汗吗？那可是他们用生命换来的呀，别的不说，就看看那些几乎每天都出事的小煤窑吧，你们以为他们不知道那工作的辛苦吗？难道他们不知道哪有多么的危险吗？他们当然都知道，可为什么他们还是前赴后继的要去呢?因为他们要生活呀，他们跟你们一样也是为人子，为人夫，为人父啊！赖掉从这样的人借来的债，你们花的舒服吗？这不是与你们所声称的价值观相违背的吗？
美国亦打算通过人民币的升值来解决自己日益增加的中美贸易逆差，缓解人民对政府无能力摆脱其国内危机的指责，降低国内居高不下的失业率，那么人民币的升值真的能达到这个目的吗？事实上恰恰相反，经济快速增长的中国已经同时也将给以美国为首的发达国家带来无限的商机，过去一年的事实已经证明了这一点；而且中国经济的快速增长势必造就一大批富裕的中产阶级，而这些暴富的且爱炫耀的中国人也必然会走出国门，将大把的银子掷于国外，特别是那些发达国家，因为中国所生产的廉价商品说到底是无法满足他们的虚荣心的。反观如果一旦中国也陷入了发展危机，那从长远来看，以美国为首的发达国家的厄运同样无法避免，怎么说来，中国也是他们最大的贸易伙伴及市场嘛，如果一下子失去了那么多的顾客，美国反倒能反败为胜那才叫怪呢。所以人民币的升值最好的结果也不过就是把中国也拖下水，大家一起过苦日子罢了。如果美国政府真心想解决贸易逆差问题，必须勇敢地剖析自己，从自己身上找原因，而不是指责他人操纵货币，如果说中国人根据自己的国情和世界大环境来决定自己的货币是错的话,那么美国人不过中国人民的利益及美国和全世界的长远利益而硬要人民币升值，尤其不是在操纵他国的货币？这难道就是对的吗？所以说真正解决其贸易逆差应该是美国应不断提高自己的技术含量，制造别人不能制造的东西；降低生产成本，提高生产力。其实暂时的逆境不是坏事，它可以促进美国的进一步成长，变被动为主动，这样美国才能永远屹立于世界霸主地位；如果Obama政府看不到这一点，只会一味地跟发展中国家抢饭碗，劳动力成品却又居高不下，那美国的衰亡是大势所趋，无可避免，只是一个时间问题了。
美国的另一个如意算盘是因为它欠了中国大量的债，一旦人民币升值20%， 那就意味着它可以轻松地来掉20%的债务。有钱人，难道你们的良心都被狗吃了吗？你们不知道这些都是中国人民的血汗吗？那可是他们用生命换来的呀，别的不说，就看看那些几乎每天都出事的小煤窑吧，你们以为他们不知道那工作的辛苦吗？难道他们不知道哪有多么的危险吗？他们当然都知道，可为什么他们还是前赴后继的要去呢?因为他们要生活呀，他们跟你们一样也是为人子，为人夫，为人父啊！赖掉从这样的人借来的债，你们花的舒服吗？这不是与你们所声称的价值观相违背的吗？
美国亦打算通过人民币的升值来解决自己日益增加的中美贸易逆差，缓解人民对政府无能力摆脱其国内危机的指责，降低国内居高不下的失业率，那么人民币的升值真的能达到这个目的吗？事实上恰恰相反，经济快速增长的中国已经同时也将给以美国为首的发达国家带来无限的商机，过去一年的事实已经证明了这一点；而且中国经济的快速增长势必造就一大批富裕的中产阶级，而这些暴富的且爱炫耀的中国人也必然会走出国门，将大把的银子掷于国外，特别是那些发达国家，因为中国所生产的廉价商品说到底是无法满足他们的虚荣心的。反观如果一旦中国也陷入了发展危机，那从长远来看，以美国为首的发达国家的厄运同样无法避免，怎么说来，中国也是他们最大的贸易伙伴及市场嘛，如果一下子失去了那么多的顾客，美国反倒能反败为胜那才叫怪呢。所以人民币的升值最好的结果也不过就是把中国也拖下水，大家一起过苦日子罢了。如果美国政府真心想解决贸易逆差问题，必须勇敢地剖析自己，从自己身上找原因，而不是指责他人操纵货币，如果说中国人根据自己的国情和世界大环境来决定自己的货币是错的话,那么美国人不过中国人民的利益及美国和全世界的长远利益而硬要人民币升值，尤其不是在操纵他国的货币？这难道就是对的吗？所以说真正解决其贸易逆差应该是美国应不断提高自己的技术含量，制造别人不能制造的东西；降低生产成本，提高生产力。其实暂时的逆境不是坏事，它可以促进美国的进一步成长，变被动为主动，这样美国才能永远屹立于世界霸主地位；如果Obama政府看不到这一点，只会一味地跟发展中国家抢饭碗，劳动力成品却又居高不下，那美国的衰亡是大势所趋，无可避免，只是一个时间问题了。
Recently the US government has forced the Renminbi to increase in value. They blame the Chinese Government of manipulating its currency. They said it’s because Reminbi is under valued, therefore, causing their recession. I’d like to question the US government policy here. What makes you think the Reminbi is under valued? Simply because of the Sino-US trade deficits? Is the Reminbi really under valued? Once Reminbi appreciates, will it solve the problem of the world recession? As the famous proverb says, ‘History is a mirror, it will guide us the way.’ Let’s look into this mirror and see what happened in the past. More than 10 years ago, the same situation happened in Japan. At that time, the US government forced changes in Japan’s fiscal policy by threatening it as well – by showing them a false statistic report. Due to its lack of experience, Japan was fooled. As that time, Japan’s export economy largely relied on the US market.
They finally decided to bow to US pressure. Since then, Japan’s economic progress has stagnated. But today’s China is totally deferent from Japan. Japan was already quite advanced. It had its key technology industries such as car manufacturing and electronics. Even with this currency appreciation, common people still had to buy their products. But China even now has less undeveloped sectors in its economy. Last year’s GDP the growth of 8% was the result of sacrificing human resources and the environment.
The majority of China’s industries are still labor intensive such as textile, clothing, shoe manufacturing and toys. Once the RMB appreciates, countless numbers of factories will go bankrupt, and millions of workers will lose their jobs. If the appreciation of the Japanese Yen resulted in economic stagnation, the appreciation of Reminbi will also inevitably cause a huge setback. The revaluation of Japanese Yen also brought some small benefit, that is, where ever Japanese went, whatever they brought, they would say,’ 安い’. Would that apply to the Chinese? No, definitely not. Better stop your day dreaming. Why? Just now, I have already mentioned, China’s industry basically is still labor intensive. Once revalued, nobody will buy them. They will lose their livelihood.
The other reason why the US is forcing China to revalue is US borrowed large amount of money from China. If Renminbi increases by 20%, it means US sheds off 20% its debt. But don’t know they know how difficult it is for Chinese people to make this money? They even have to sacrifice their lives. Have you heard of those coal mine explosions? You think Chinese are so stupid that they don’t know it’s so dangerous to work there? Of course they knew. But they had their families relying on them. Even after you heard about these situations, you still feel comfortable to rob money stained with Chinese people’s blood? Isn’t that against your Christian teaching?
The US government also planned to solve their trade deficit problem and high employment rate through the revaluation. Will it be solved? No, on the contrary, it will be worsened. The rapid growth of China will continue to bring lots of opportunities to the US as well as the whole world. Meanwhile the wealthy middle class consumer’s demand for “made in China” products class will also flood the foreign market by either traveling there or buying luxury products. The cheap for sure cannot satisfy their showy appetite. If China stops its growing, in the long run, the US and the rest of the world also will suffer simply because China now is their biggest trading partner. So by Renminbi’s appreciation the maximum US can do is pull China’s leg and in the end everybody goes down together. If US government really wants to solve the deficit problem, it should find the reason on its own rather than blaming others. If it is “wrong” for China to “manipulate” its currency value based on its own conditions, why it is a right move for US to force China to appreciate its currency? This is not considered as manipulating another country’s currency? Here I would like to give some advice to the US government. The US should switch from labor intensive to value-added or even technology-based products which other country cannot make. It should focus on cutting costs and improving productivity. The US government should adopt a new positive thinking. It should take it as the opportunity to improve itself. If the Obama administration fails to see this, and still compete with the developing countries, then US’s failure is destined. It’s just a matter of time.
They finally decided to bow to US pressure. Since then, Japan’s economic progress has stagnated. But today’s China is totally deferent from Japan. Japan was already quite advanced. It had its key technology industries such as car manufacturing and electronics. Even with this currency appreciation, common people still had to buy their products. But China even now has less undeveloped sectors in its economy. Last year’s GDP the growth of 8% was the result of sacrificing human resources and the environment.
The majority of China’s industries are still labor intensive such as textile, clothing, shoe manufacturing and toys. Once the RMB appreciates, countless numbers of factories will go bankrupt, and millions of workers will lose their jobs. If the appreciation of the Japanese Yen resulted in economic stagnation, the appreciation of Reminbi will also inevitably cause a huge setback. The revaluation of Japanese Yen also brought some small benefit, that is, where ever Japanese went, whatever they brought, they would say,’ 安い’. Would that apply to the Chinese? No, definitely not. Better stop your day dreaming. Why? Just now, I have already mentioned, China’s industry basically is still labor intensive. Once revalued, nobody will buy them. They will lose their livelihood.
The other reason why the US is forcing China to revalue is US borrowed large amount of money from China. If Renminbi increases by 20%, it means US sheds off 20% its debt. But don’t know they know how difficult it is for Chinese people to make this money? They even have to sacrifice their lives. Have you heard of those coal mine explosions? You think Chinese are so stupid that they don’t know it’s so dangerous to work there? Of course they knew. But they had their families relying on them. Even after you heard about these situations, you still feel comfortable to rob money stained with Chinese people’s blood? Isn’t that against your Christian teaching?
The US government also planned to solve their trade deficit problem and high employment rate through the revaluation. Will it be solved? No, on the contrary, it will be worsened. The rapid growth of China will continue to bring lots of opportunities to the US as well as the whole world. Meanwhile the wealthy middle class consumer’s demand for “made in China” products class will also flood the foreign market by either traveling there or buying luxury products. The cheap for sure cannot satisfy their showy appetite. If China stops its growing, in the long run, the US and the rest of the world also will suffer simply because China now is their biggest trading partner. So by Renminbi’s appreciation the maximum US can do is pull China’s leg and in the end everybody goes down together. If US government really wants to solve the deficit problem, it should find the reason on its own rather than blaming others. If it is “wrong” for China to “manipulate” its currency value based on its own conditions, why it is a right move for US to force China to appreciate its currency? This is not considered as manipulating another country’s currency? Here I would like to give some advice to the US government. The US should switch from labor intensive to value-added or even technology-based products which other country cannot make. It should focus on cutting costs and improving productivity. The US government should adopt a new positive thinking. It should take it as the opportunity to improve itself. If the Obama administration fails to see this, and still compete with the developing countries, then US’s failure is destined. It’s just a matter of time.
Lavenderziyi's space 
我这两天也看了几篇有关的文章和电视专题。当年日币对美元升值的负面影响，至今也没消化掉。美国也曾经逼德国马克升值，德国选了一条与日本相反的道路，硬顶着不升，结果胜利突围。人民币从８０年代启，已经升值了至少２１％。国内有相当一批支持政府效仿当年德国马克的。美国就是强盗逻辑，强权流氓政治，根本没跟你讲道理：老子是最大的市场，你不听我的，我搞贸易摩擦，让你外贸产品滞销，倒闭一批企业。。。写得好，赞！
谢谢
看问题的层次不同，所表达也不同。在威廉恩道尔的书中讲得清楚：这是霉国帝国征途上的重要一战：把中国变成霉国的完全附庸。第一步把中国变成霉国的经济殖民地已经实现。目前正在向完全殖民地快速飞进。这是第二步，到目前为止，非常顺利。看清楚这是个严重的政治问题，然后，看问题就可以站在高的层次往下看，那么一切也就显得一目了然了。我曾经也对其怀疑，但大家觉得难以解释的事情，顺着思路都能轻易地解释，所以，我相信他是对的。